Fact check: A our AI model AI-powered trading bot, operated by the account sovereign2013, turned $1 into $3.3 million on the crypto…

Verdict: mixed — Trust Score 49/100

High-risk financial/audit claims are not supported by primary or independently auditable evidence; available sources mostly show reporting or repetition of the claims rather than proof. The Instagram post accurately details the performance of a our AI model AI-powered trading bot, sovereign2013, on the Polymarket platform. The bot reportedly turned $1 into $3.3 million since August 2025, utilizing rapid sports betting arbitrage. Key figures, including its largest win from a college basketball game and recent earnings, are confirmed by 3 sources including Finbold and The Crypto Times.

Platform
instagram
Source author
aipagedaily — see all fact-checks of this account
Original post
https://www.instagram.com/p/DbdIZJAkWYg/?igsh=M3l3czMxaDlkZHFk
Verified on
July 31, 2026
Verification ID
iuFtAyoFE3C-rFF6uMfbfA

Original content reviewed

Platform: INSTAGRAM Author: @aipagedaily --- Caption/Description --- 🤖💰 A Claude AI-powered trading bot turned $1 into $3.3 million on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket since August 2025. Operated by the account sovereign2013, the bot uses rapid sports betting arbitrage, making 37,247 predictions since the account launched in July 2025. Its biggest win came from the Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats college basketball game, earning over $1.73 million, including $179,100 in profit. Other standout bets included nearly 400% returns on Florida International vs. Western Kentucky and more than 200% on the Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers. The account currently holds about $130,400 in active positions, with its largest current wager on the ATP match between Valentin Royer and Alex Martinez. Over the past day, week, and month, the bot earned $144,237, $416,165, and nearly $1.54 million, respectively, highlighting both the growing influence of AI in prediction markets and concerns about the fairness of AI’s speed advantage. Do you think AI-powered trading bots should face stricter rules in prediction markets? 🤔 Sources: https://polymarketanalytics.com/traders/0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf | Finbold #ai #artificialintelligence #aitools #aihacks #chatgpt --- Carousel/Slides (6 items) --- Slide 1 (video): Text: sovereign2013 Joined Jul 2025 · 69. $30.2K Positions Value $179.1K Biggest Win Profit/Loss 1D 1W 1M ALL $2,902,678.50 Polymarket Mar 26, 2026 9:00 AM CLAUDE AI-POWERED TRADING BOT TURNED $1 INTO $3.3 MILLION ON POLYMARKET SWIPE FOR MORE SOURCE PLATFORM: unclear --- sovereign2013 Joined Jul 2025 69. $30.2K Positions Value $179.1K Biggest Win Profit/Loss 1D 1W 1M ALL $1,223,457.40 Polymarket Mar 25, 2026 7:00 AM CLAUDE AI-POWERED TRADING BOT TURNED $1 INTO $3.3 MILLION ON POLYMARKET SWIPE FOR MORE SOURCE PLATFORM: unclear --- Search positions Mavericks vs. Bucks Bucks 55.1¢ 24,865.0 shares Spread: Bucks (-2.5) Bucks 47.

Claims analyzed (5)

  1. verified: A our AI model AI-powered trading bot, operated by the account sovereign2013, turned $1 into $3.3 million on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket since August 2025.
    Multiple financial news outlets, including Finbold and The Crypto Times, reported on a Claude AI-powered trading bot named sovereign2013 that grew $1 into $3.3 million on Polymarket since August 2025.
  2. verified: The bot uses rapid sports betting arbitrage and has made 37,247 predictions since the account launched in July 2025.
    Finbold reported that the sovereign2013 bot uses rapid arbitrage sports bets and has made 37,247 predictions since its launch in July 2025.
  3. unverifiable: The bot's largest win was from the Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats college basketball game, earning over $1.73 million, including $179,100 in profit.
    Finbold and The Crypto Times both confirm that the bot's largest win came from the Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats college basketball game, earning over $1.73 million, with $179,100 in pure profit. The game itself took place on March 22, 2026. No primary audit, regulator filing, broker/custodian record, or independently inspectable performance report was found for this high-risk financial claim; media/PR repetition only confirms the claim was reported.
  4. verified: The account currently holds about $130,400 in active positions, with its largest current wager on an ATP match between Valentin Royer and Alex Martinez.
    Finbold reported that the sovereign2013 profile currently holds approximately $130,400 in position value, and its largest current wager is on an ATP bet on the Valentin Royer vs. Alex Martinez match. The match between Valentin Royer and Alex Martinez was scheduled for April 3, 2026.
  5. mostly true: Over the past day, week, and month, the bot earned $144,237, $416,165, and nearly $1.54 million, respectively.
    Finbold reported these exact earnings for the bot: $144,237 over the past day, $416,165 over the past week, and nearly $1.54 million over the past month.

Sources consulted (9)

Related verifications

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