mostly true — Trust Score 75/100

The core claim that Bitcoin peaked on October 6, 2025, reported by Kraken, Coinbase, and Fidelity Investments. However, the assertion that these cycles follow 'exact' day counts is misleading, as the creator cherry-picks specific historical dates and rounds durations (e.g., 376 days rounded to 364) to maintain the narrative's mathematical symmetry.

Platform
instagram
Source author
dodgysddofficial
Original post
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DZQCmWZKL_Z/?igsh=YTFqc25rd3h0OGU5
Verified on
June 7, 2026
Verification ID
qe_QVos6V3lC2_MQwSukxg

Original content reviewed

Platform: INSTAGRAM Author: @dodgysddofficial --- Caption/Description --- This is honestly insane wtf😭😭 #bitcoin #crypto #daytrading --- Audio Transcript (What was said) --- I am literally shaking after finding what I just saw on Bitcoin. Like I feel like I'm gonna hit post and then I'm gonna be like washed or something after I walk out of my house today. Look at this chart on Bitcoin. Notice anything suspicious? Oh, maybe every single all-time low and all-time high run were the same exact amount of days. I'm literally in disbelief. Look at this. 2014 to 2017, the exact day we made all-time highs was 1,064 days. Okay, whatever. Doesn't really mean much. Okay, 2017, 2018 went back to all-time lows, took 364 days. 2018 to 2021, when did we top out? The exact day, Monday the 15th, 2021 November. How many days was it? 1,064, just like the previous run. Oh, and what do you know? From that exact top back to the low, 364 days. Okay, Monday the 8th of November to Monday the 7th of November, 2022. And what do you know? This run from all-time lows to all-time highs, 1,064 days again. All the way from Monday the 7th November 2022 to Monday the 6th October 2025. So, what does that mean? That basically means we know exactly when Bitcoin's going to bottom out. This shit, if accurate, which it should be, there's less than a 0.0000001% chance this is so random. Monday the 6th 2025, so it would be Monday the 5th October 2026, which would put us around maybe $20,000 to $40,000. Maybe that's where we're bottom out and then we'll buy again. Like, don't even listen to me. I'm just showing you what I see in the chart. This is insane. ICT's first lesson was this, time over price or time before price. And this proves that ICT clearly knows what he's talking about. --- On-Screen Text (OCR) --- Code DODGY All Prop Firms 1064 days 364 Days 2021 2022 1064 days 364 days 2025 All time highs Back to lows Back to all time lows 8/6/2026 BTCUSD 1 W Mon 10 Dec '18

Claims analyzed (4)

  1. verified: Bitcoin reached an all-time high on October 6, 2025.
    Multiple financial exchanges and market reports from 2025 and 2026 confirm Bitcoin hit its record high of $126,080 - $126,210 on October 6, 2025.
  2. mostly true: The Bitcoin bear market from 2017 to 2018 lasted exactly 364 days.
    The 2017 peak (Dec 17) to the 2018 low (Dec 15) was 363 days. While not 'exactly' 364, it is a common approximation in cycle theory.
  3. misleading: The Bitcoin bear market from the 2021 peak to the November 7, 2022 low lasted exactly 364 days.
    The actual cycle low occurred on November 21, 2022 (376 days after the peak). The post uses November 7 to force a 362-364 day count, ignoring the deeper FTX-induced low two weeks later.
  4. mixed: ICT's 'time over price' theory is proven.
    The 'time over price' concept is a legitimate teaching of Michael J. Huddleston (ICT), but its status as 'proven' is highly contested among professional analysts and lacks empirical academic validation.

Sources consulted (8)

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